Market Analysis - Natural Gas

Catalyst Primari

EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage

Settimanale — giovedì 16:30 IT · Energy Information Administration

— : — : —

Last Actual

—

Forecast

—

analysts consensus

Surprise

—

Storage

— Bcf

vs 5y avg —

Meteo USA — Anomalie

iLIVE

6-10 giorni

—°F

vs media stagionale

8-14 giorni

—°F

vs media stagionale

HDD attesi (week) —

CDD attesi (week) —

Source: NOAA · GFS / ECMWF · Aggiornato ogni 6h

Stagionalità

Stagione corrente—

Demand bias—

Eventi estremi—

Polar vortex / heat dome / hurricane

Supply / Demand Strutturali

LNG Exports (feedgas)

i—

Total feedgas—

Bcf/d 7d-avg—

Top terminal—

Sabine Pass · Corpus Christi · Cameron · Cove Point · Freeport · Plaquemines

Lower-48 Production

i—

Dry gas—

Bcf/d 30d-avg—

Permian assoc.—

EIA monthly · Drilling Productivity Report

Rig Count Gas

i—

Active rigs—

Δ vs prev week—

Δ vs YoY—

Baker Hughes · venerdì USA · 19:00 IT

Hurricane Watch

i—

Stagione—

Active storms—

Gulf threat—

NHC · NOAA · 1 giu - 30 nov

Power Burn

i—

Today—

7d-avg—

Coal-to-gas switch—

EIA daily · Bcf/d gas to power gen

Canada Imports

i—

Net imports—

Trend 30d—

Pipeline data EIA

Context Macro & Cross-Asset

EIA STEO Outlook

Forecast Q+1—

Production '26—

Price avg '26—

Mensile · 2° martedì del mese

Cross-Asset

DXY—

WTI Crude—

NG/Crude ratio—

Yahoo Finance · 15min delay

Global LNG Spreads

JKM (Asia)—

TTF (EU)—

Henry Hub—

Arb USA→EU—

$/MMBtu · Platts

EU Gas Storage

Storage level—

vs 5y avg—

GIE AGSI · daily

Posizionamento & Tecnico

CFTC COT — Managed Money

i—

Net position—

Long: — Short: —

CFTC · venerdì sera (dati di martedì)

Calendar Spread

i—

Front month—

Next month—

Spread—

Structure—

Backwardation = bullish · Contango = bearish

Open Interest & Volume

OI total—

Δ OI 5d—

Volume yest.—

Vol/OI ratio—

CME Group · Henry Hub front month

Volatilità

HV 30d—

IV ATM—

IV/HV ratio—

Implied vs realized · CBOE OVX